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<title>AI News: Epoch AI</title>
<link>https://ai-news.ypetit.net/sources/epoch-ai/</link>
<description>Latest publications from Epoch AI, aggregated by AI News from the official source.</description>
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<lastBuildDate>Fri, 23 Oct 2026 19:08:30 GMT</lastBuildDate>
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<item><title>Epoch AI: Open-weight models trail closed models in cyber capabilities by 6–7 months</title><link>https://epoch.ai/data-insights/open-closed-cyber-eci-gap</link><guid isPermaLink="false">https://epoch.ai/data-insights/open-closed-cyber-eci-gap</guid><pubDate>Fri, 16 Oct 2026 00:00:00 GMT</pubDate><category>research</category><description>Z.ai’s GLM-5.3 is the top open-weight model on Epoch’s Cyber ECI, scoring where the closed-weight frontier stood 6–7 months earlier.</description></item>
<item><title>Epoch AI: AI systems are improving rapidly at Slay the Spire and its sequel</title><link>https://epoch.ai/publications/ai-systems-are-improving-rapidly-at-slay-the-spire-and-its-sequel</link><guid isPermaLink="false">https://epoch.ai/publications/ai-systems-are-improving-rapidly-at-slay-the-spire-and-its-sequel</guid><pubDate>Wed, 14 Oct 2026 00:00:00 GMT</pubDate><category>research</category><description>Months ago, frontier models could barely beat Slay the Spire. Now they win 90%+ at the easiest setting and up to 20% at the hardest. Results from Epoch AI’s new SpireClimb benchmark.</description></item>
<item><title>Epoch AI: Can AI automate Epoch?</title><link>https://epoch.ai/publications/can-ai-automate-epoch</link><guid isPermaLink="false">https://epoch.ai/publications/can-ai-automate-epoch</guid><pubDate>Thu, 08 Oct 2026 00:00:00 GMT</pubDate><category>research</category><description>Frontier models can handle well-defined tasks reliably, but fail in the more open-ended aspects that prevent full work automation. Explore Epoch AI&apos;s Automation Reports: realistic, open-ended tasks taken directly from our work, manually graded by our own standards.</description></item>
<item><title>Epoch AI: US adults are no more likely to face cyber incidents than when Claude Fable 5 launched</title><link>https://epoch.ai/data-insights/cyber-incidents-flat-since-fable-5</link><guid isPermaLink="false">https://epoch.ai/data-insights/cyber-incidents-flat-since-fable-5</guid><pubDate>Wed, 07 Oct 2026 00:00:00 GMT</pubDate><category>research</category><description>June and September polls from Epoch AI/Ipsos show no detectable increase in the share of US adults experiencing cyber incidents</description></item>
<item><title>Epoch AI: EBR-bench update</title><link>https://epoch.ai/publications/ebr-bench-update</link><guid isPermaLink="false">https://epoch.ai/publications/ebr-bench-update</guid><pubDate>Wed, 07 Oct 2026 00:00:00 GMT</pubDate><category>research</category><description>Updates on EBR-bench, Epoch AI’s benchmark that tests models’ ability to learn from experience. GPT-6 Astra hit a perfect score on over half its EBR-bench attempts by exploiting one overpowered card, which we now ban. Plus multi-agent scaffold results.</description></item>
<item><title>Epoch AI: Can AI automate AI R&amp;D yet?</title><link>https://epoch.ai/publications/innovationeval</link><guid isPermaLink="false">https://epoch.ai/publications/innovationeval</guid><pubDate>Wed, 07 Oct 2026 00:00:00 GMT</pubDate><category>research</category><description>Early evidence from InnovationEval: No</description></item>
<item><title>Epoch AI: China is more exposed to semiconductor supply-chain disruptions than the US</title><link>https://epoch.ai/publications/china-us-semiconductor-supply-chain-exposure</link><guid isPermaLink="false">https://epoch.ai/publications/china-us-semiconductor-supply-chain-exposure</guid><pubDate>Tue, 06 Oct 2026 00:00:00 GMT</pubDate><category>research</category><description>China is 2.7× as exposed to semiconductor supply shocks as the US, Epoch AI estimates. Epoch traces chips through input-output tables to model the impact of a Taiwan shock and decoupling.</description></item>
<item><title>Epoch AI: How do Chinese AI companies make money?</title><link>https://epoch.ai/publications/how-do-chinese-ai-companies-make-money</link><guid isPermaLink="false">https://epoch.ai/publications/how-do-chinese-ai-companies-make-money</guid><pubDate>Tue, 06 Oct 2026 00:00:00 GMT</pubDate><category>research</category><description>China&apos;s six leading AI firms earn about 10% of OpenAI and Anthropic&apos;s combined AI revenue. Epoch AI examines their five revenue streams: consumer apps, model access, enterprise and government solutions, licensing fees, and indirect monetization through cloud and advertising.</description></item>
<item><title>Epoch AI: Coding-agent spending by OpenAI researchers is doubling roughly every month</title><link>https://epoch.ai/data-insights/openai-coding-agent-spending</link><guid isPermaLink="false">https://epoch.ai/data-insights/openai-coding-agent-spending</guid><pubDate>Mon, 05 Oct 2026 00:00:00 GMT</pubDate><category>research</category><description>OpenAI researchers’ coding-agent usage, valued at API prices, has recently been doubling roughly every month, according to breakpoint fits.</description></item>
<item><title>Epoch AI: How many AI agents could run on the AI chips shipped through 2027?</title><link>https://epoch.ai/publications/estimating-the-agent-population</link><guid isPermaLink="false">https://epoch.ai/publications/estimating-the-agent-population</guid><pubDate>Fri, 02 Oct 2026 00:00:00 GMT</pubDate><category>research</category><description>Memory shipped through 2027 could run 33–171 million concurrent frontier-model agents, or billions using efficient open models. Epoch AI estimates inference capacity from HBM supply, serving benchmarks, and agent-hour costs.</description></item>
<item><title>Epoch AI: Introducing the ChatGPT usage explorer</title><link>https://epoch.ai/latest/introducing-the-chatgpt-usage-explorer</link><guid isPermaLink="false">https://epoch.ai/latest/introducing-the-chatgpt-usage-explorer</guid><pubDate>Thu, 01 Oct 2026 00:00:00 GMT</pubDate><category>research</category><description>Median monthly messages per active user rose from 14 in 2023 to 36 in 2025, and the top 10% of users sent 63% of all prompts. Epoch AI&apos;s ChatGPT usage explorer draws on 8.3 million messages from 5,000 US YouGov panelists.</description></item>
<item><title>Epoch AI: AI has improved significantly at reasoning about IKEA furniture assembly</title><link>https://epoch.ai/publications/furniture-assembly</link><guid isPermaLink="false">https://epoch.ai/publications/furniture-assembly</guid><pubDate>Wed, 23 Sep 2026 00:00:00 GMT</pubDate><category>research</category><description>AI model scores on Epoch AI&apos;s IKEA furniture assembly benchmark jumped from 28% to 80% in 10 months, with open-weight models trailing closed-weight models by about 7 months. Epoch AI&apos;s test of visual and spatial reasoning across 60 photos from three furniture builds.</description></item>
<item><title>Epoch AI: The plunging price of thought</title><link>https://epoch.ai/publications/the-plunging-price-of-thought</link><guid isPermaLink="false">https://epoch.ai/publications/the-plunging-price-of-thought</guid><pubDate>Tue, 22 Sep 2026 00:00:00 GMT</pubDate><category>research</category><description>Epoch AI measures how fast the cost of a given level of AI performance is falling across five benchmarks covering math, science and games of skill: about 47% per quarter, or 13x per year, since 2023, faster than electricity, compute, batteries or DNA sequencing ever fell.</description></item>
<item><title>Epoch AI: In August, 25% of math preprints acknowledged AI use, up from 4% in April</title><link>https://epoch.ai/data-insights/math-preprints-disclosed-ai-use</link><guid isPermaLink="false">https://epoch.ai/data-insights/math-preprints-disclosed-ai-use</guid><pubDate>Fri, 18 Sep 2026 00:00:00 GMT</pubDate><category>research</category><description>Acknowledgments of AI use in arXiv math preprints rose from 4% in April 2026 to 25% in August, with 6% crediting AI with a substantial research contribution.</description></item>
<item><title>Epoch AI: Trade data is consistent with more than $3 billion of chips smuggled into China via Malaysia</title><link>https://epoch.ai/data-insights/malaysia-china-chip-smuggling</link><guid isPermaLink="false">https://epoch.ai/data-insights/malaysia-china-chip-smuggling</guid><pubDate>Thu, 17 Sep 2026 00:00:00 GMT</pubDate><category>research</category><description>Epoch AI&apos;s analysis of trade data finds a pattern consistent with $3B worth of chips smuggled to China via Malaysia. China recorded $3.8B of server imports from Malaysia in 2024–25; Malaysia recorded only $0.6B of exports.</description></item>
<item><title>Epoch AI: GPT-6 Astra leads on math benchmarks, but not on software engineering</title><link>https://epoch.ai/data-insights/astra-eci-breakdown</link><guid isPermaLink="false">https://epoch.ai/data-insights/astra-eci-breakdown</guid><pubDate>Wed, 16 Sep 2026 00:00:00 GMT</pubDate><category>research</category><description>OpenAI&apos;s GPT-6 Astra tops the Epoch Capabilities Index (ECI) with a score of 166, ahead of Claude Fable 5.1 at 164 and GPT-5.6 Sol at 162. Its Math-ECI of 170 sets a new record, but on software engineering benchmarks its SWE-ECI of 164 still lags behind Fable 5.1&apos;s 167.</description></item>
<item><title>Epoch AI: We&apos;re scaling our AI Data Centers research</title><link>https://epoch.ai/latest/scaling-ai-data-centers-research</link><guid isPermaLink="false">https://epoch.ai/latest/scaling-ai-data-centers-research</guid><pubDate>Wed, 16 Sep 2026 00:00:00 GMT</pubDate><category>research</category><description>Epoch AI&apos;s AI Data Centers explorer now covers an estimated 44% of global AI compute across 86 sites, with a redesigned interface and expanding global coverage.</description></item>
<item><title>Epoch AI: Near-daily AI use among US adults has more than doubled in six months</title><link>https://epoch.ai/data-insights/near-daily-ai-use-doubled</link><guid isPermaLink="false">https://epoch.ai/data-insights/near-daily-ai-use-doubled</guid><pubDate>Mon, 14 Sep 2026 00:00:00 GMT</pubDate><category>research</category><description>The share of US adults using AI at least 6 days a week rose from 8% in March 2026 to 19% in August 2026, according to Epoch AI/Ipsos polling.</description></item>
<item><title>Epoch AI: Introducing the AI Chip Users explorer</title><link>https://epoch.ai/latest/introducing-the-ai-chip-users-explorer</link><guid isPermaLink="false">https://epoch.ai/latest/introducing-the-ai-chip-users-explorer</guid><pubDate>Wed, 09 Sep 2026 00:00:00 GMT</pubDate><category>research</category><description>A first look at Epoch AI&apos;s data on compute usage across five leading labs.</description></item>
<item><title>Epoch AI: Long-context latency scales quadratically for GPT-5.6 but nearly linearly for Claude 5</title><link>https://epoch.ai/publications/long-context-latency-scaling-gpt-vs-claude</link><guid isPermaLink="false">https://epoch.ai/publications/long-context-latency-scaling-gpt-vs-claude</guid><pubDate>Tue, 08 Sep 2026 00:00:00 GMT</pubDate><category>research</category><description>Epoch AI measures long-context latency scaling across four frontier models. GPT-5.6 Terra and Sol show quadratic time-to-first-token growth with context length, while Claude Sonnet 5 and Opus 5 stay near-linear.</description></item>
<item><title>Epoch AI: Will Huawei catch up to Nvidia by 2030?</title><link>https://epoch.ai/publications/huaweis-roadmap-to-2031</link><guid isPermaLink="false">https://epoch.ai/publications/huaweis-roadmap-to-2031</guid><pubDate>Fri, 04 Sep 2026 00:00:00 GMT</pubDate><category>research</category><description>Huawei plans major gains in AI chip performance by 2030, but US export controls cap its most important scaling levers. Epoch AI estimates Huawei will produce less than 4% as much AI compute as Nvidia in 2026, a share that could be around 1% by 2028 without access to foreign me…</description></item>
<item><title>Epoch AI: The record for power capacity in a single data center has doubled every 10 months</title><link>https://epoch.ai/data-insights/frontier-data-center-power</link><guid isPermaLink="false">https://epoch.ai/data-insights/frontier-data-center-power</guid><pubDate>Fri, 04 Sep 2026 00:00:00 GMT</pubDate><category>research</category><description>Since mid-2024, the record for the largest AI data center by IT power capacity has doubled every ten months. Epoch AI&apos;s analysis of frontier data center power trends through 2028.</description></item>
<item><title>Epoch AI: The ECI frontier has advanced by 14 points per year since the introduction of reasoning models</title><link>https://epoch.ai/data-insights/eci-frontier-trend</link><guid isPermaLink="false">https://epoch.ai/data-insights/eci-frontier-trend</guid><pubDate>Tue, 01 Sep 2026 00:00:00 GMT</pubDate><category>research</category><description></description></item>
<item><title>Epoch AI: Announcing FrontierMath Erdős</title><link>https://epoch.ai/latest/announcing-frontiermath-erdos</link><guid isPermaLink="false">https://epoch.ai/latest/announcing-frontiermath-erdos</guid><pubDate>Tue, 01 Sep 2026 00:00:00 GMT</pubDate><category>research</category><description>A benchmark of 68 significant Erdős problems, open as of August 2026, curated by Thomas Bloom and formalized in Lean. AI systems must prove or disprove them within a fixed budget.</description></item>
<item><title>Epoch AI: An update on AI’s most important number</title><link>https://epoch.ai/gradient-updates/an-update-on-ais-most-important-number</link><guid isPermaLink="false">https://epoch.ai/gradient-updates/an-update-on-ais-most-important-number</guid><pubDate>Thu, 27 Aug 2026 00:00:00 GMT</pubDate><category>research</category><description>How quickly are Anthropic and OpenAI growing their revenue?</description></item>
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